DegeneratePicks is experimental analytics software provided strictly for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is NOT a betting service, and no picks, predictions, or analysis should be construed as betting advice.
No Guarantees
All predictions, expected values, confidence ratings, and any other metrics displayed are estimates based on statistical models. They are NOT guaranteed outcomes. Sports events are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Financial Risk Warning
If you choose to gamble, understand that:
You can lose all money wagered
Gambling can be addictive
Never bet more than you can afford to lose
This software provides NO guarantee of profit
Your Responsibilities
By using this software, you acknowledge that:
You are at least 21 years old (or legal gambling age in your jurisdiction)
Online gambling may be illegal in your jurisdiction
You are solely responsible for compliance with local laws
All betting decisions are your own responsibility
DegeneratePicks is not liable for any losses
Problem Gambling Resources
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem:
National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-522-4700
Gamblers Anonymous: www.gamblersanonymous.org
National Suicide Prevention: 988
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EXPERIMENTALAnalytics for entertainment only. No guarantees.
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Today's Games
HEALTHY
GREEN
Detecting...0
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System Operating in Caution Mode
REDUCED
Recent performance is below targets. System is operating with increased selectivity and reduced stakes.
Active Picks
BEST BETS ONLY
Learning modeThe Brain is being tested against Polymarket's prices and hasn't shown an edge yet (last season's backtest: Polymarket's odds were more accurate). Picks are tracked to measure it, not betting advice.See the report card
🔒 Locks
Win rateThe strongest favourites about 2 hours before start, checked by our models. Judged only on whether they win: last season these won about 9 in 10 (super locks, 90%+ favourites, about 97 in 100). Heavy favourites pay little, so they are not value bets.
Recent Results
Today's games
Today's slate
Every game with the best price we can find and where the money is moving.
ODDS
Loading line movements...
Steam Moves Detected
0
Sharp money detected - Lines moved across 3+ books. Cents (c) = how much the line shifted (e.g., 19c = spread moved from -3 to -3.5)
Today
Today
Upcoming
The Brain Room · every pick on the record
AI Pick History
Every pick the model has made, priced against the market and graded when the game ends. Nothing deleted.
Learning modeThe Brain is being tested against Polymarket's prices and hasn't shown an edge yet (last season's backtest: Polymarket's odds were more accurate). Picks are tracked to measure it, not betting advice.See the report card
How to Read These Picks
Win % — How likely the AI thinks this bet wins EV % — Expected Value, the mathematical edge over the sportsbook
ML = Moneyline (pick the winner) Spread = Team must win by X points Parlay = Multiple bets combined
Odds — -150 means bet $150 to win $100. +200 means bet $100 to win $200 Green = Won Red = Lost Yellow = Pending
All Time
All Time
Today
Yesterday
This Week
This Month
All Results
All Results
Won
Lost
Pending
All Bets
All Bets
Straight
2-Leg Parlay
3-Leg Parlay
--
Picks
--
W-L
--
Win %
$--
Profit
--
Pending
--
CLV Beat%
All Picks History
(showing 0)
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Injury report · live from ESPN
Who's out tonight
Every reported absence by team. Tap a player for the injury and expected return.
NBA
Pro Sports
NBA
WNBA
NFL
NHL
MLB
College Sports
NCAAF
NCAAM
NCAAW
Other
MMA/UFC
MLS
Loading injuries...
Locker Room · live
The locker room
What bettors are saying about today's games, with their tracked bets when they choose to show them.
Around the leagueESPN
Beware of external links. Nothing here is betting advice.
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Global LoungeOpen to all members
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Trades: Polymarket public trades on the result of games live now or starting within 36 hours, trader names hidden. Picks: DegenPicks' public pick record.
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Every pick, every sport
Live board, odds and box scores
Email alerts, 5 minutes after picks post
Pick reasoning (not included)
Win probability, EV and stake sizing (not included)
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Pick reasoning
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Win probability, EV and stake sizing (not included)
Factor breakdown and CLV (not included)
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The full model
Everything in Premium
Win probability and confidence
EV and stake sizing
Factor breakdown
Closing line value
Instant alerts with the full numbers
7-day free trial, card required. Renews at the price shown until you cancel in Settings → Membership. We email you before the trial ends.
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Everything in VIP
Sportsbook links in every alert
Personal invite from the owner
Capped at 25 members.
Feature Comparison
Feature
Free
Premium
VIP
Whale
Picks and sports
✓
✓
✓
✓
Live board, odds and box scores
✓
✓
✓
✓
Pick reasoning
✓
✓
✓
Win probability & confidence
✓
✓
Expected value (EV %)
✓
✓
Stake sizing
✓
✓
Factor breakdown
✓
✓
Closing line value (CLV)
✓
✓
Email pick alerts
Basic, 5 min later
Instant + reasoning
Instant + win prob, EV, stake
Instant + sportsbook links
Membership
Open
Open
Open
Owner invite, 25 max
The Math Desk · the math, instantly
Betting Calculators
Convert prices, strip the vig, size stakes, and check parlays, hedges and arbs. Results update as you type. Price boxes accept +150, 2.50, 3/2, 40% or 62¢.
Odds converter
Type in any box and the others follow.
No-vig fair odds
Strip the bookmaker margin out of a market to see each side's fair chance.
Power assumes more margin sits on the longshot.
Expected value
Your win probability against the price you can get.
Kelly stake sizing
How much of your bankroll an edge justifies, scaled down and capped.
0.15× matches how the app sizes its own picks.
Parlay 2 legs
Combine legs into one price. Add your own % per leg to see the real chance and EV.
Hedge & cash-out
Bet the other side to lock a result, and check whether a cash-out offer is fair.
Arbitrage
Best prices from different places. If they add up to under 100%, a split locks a profit.
Polymarket shares
Each share pays $1 if it resolves your way and $0 if not.
Bankroll variance
What a run of bets can look like: the expected result and the normal range around it.
These tools do math on the numbers you enter; they don't predict results. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
The Receipts · graded results
How the Brain is doing
Recorded AI picks, not an executed betting account. Pending picks never enter accuracy, ROI or the settled result line.
Loading recorded performance…
Settled accuracy—
Settled W / L—
Net result · unavailable—
ROI · unavailable—
Cumulative decided win-rate
Win rate over time, from graded wins and losses in the order they settled. Pending picks, pushes, voids and unverified picks are left out, and duplicate selection rows count separately. Profit and ROI aren't shown: stake amounts have no independent financial provenance.
Settlement coverage
Recorded picks—
Settled W/L—
Pending · excluded—
Push / void · not W/L—
Unverified · withheld—
Stake · unavailable—
What counts as settlement evidence?
Recognized results, ordered timestamps and recorded scores must agree with available structured settlement evidence, including parlay leg counts. Malformed evidence is withheld. This is a stored-evidence consistency check, not an independent provider audit. Row-weighted: duplicate selection rows count separately; no fuzzy deduplication. Money, ROI and financial curves are withheld because persisted stakes/profits may be defaulted or calculated and lack independent financial provenance. Pending and unverified selection details are not exposed on this public history surface.
By sport
By market
Live vs pre-game
Recorded picks
Status filters change this ledger only. Summary and breakdowns describe the selected period and sport. Completed outcomes only; money and ROI are withheld as explained above. Times are local; inspect a time for the full date.
Team Analytics · rosters and box scores
Tonight's matchups
Starting lineups, who's out, and every player's line once the game tips.
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All Teams
All Teams
Sort: Points
Sort: Points
Sort: Rebounds
Sort: Assists
Sort: Efficiency
Sort: Fantasy Pts
Scoring Leader
--
--
--
PPG
Rebounds Leader
--
--
--
RPG
Assists Leader
--
--
--
APG
Efficiency Leader
--
--
--
PER
Loading player data...
Fetching stats from ESPN
--
Player Name
Team - Position - #00
Season Averages
Recent Games
Date
Opp
MIN
PTS
REB
AST
FG%
3P%
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Shooting Splits
Admin Panel
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Preferences
Light modeA light theme for daytime use
Live updatesRefresh games and live scores automatically
Notifications
Browser notificationsAlerts on this device, even with the tab in the background
EmailPick alerts by email. Timing and detail depend on your plan.
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Sportsbooks
Select the sportsbooks you use. Notifications will show bet slip links only for your selected books, with the best odds highlighted.
Used for state-specific sportsbook links (e.g. BetMGM)
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Connecticut
Washington DC
Iowa
Illinois
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Massachusetts
Maryland
Michigan
Missouri
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New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Tennessee
Virginia
Vermont
West Virginia
Wyoming
Privacy
Public profileLet others see your stats
LeaderboardsShow your name on public leaderboards
Hide my activityKeep your picks hidden from other users
Community
Show my bets on my commentsOff by default. When on, your tracked bet on a game appears next to your name when you comment on it
Show bet amountsInclude your stake, like "Celtics ML · $50". Off shows just the pick
Blocked usersYou don't see their comments. They aren't told.
PasskeysSign in with Face ID, Touch ID or Windows Hello instead of your password
Membership
Current plan: FreeUpgrade for premium features
Account
Analytics tools only, not a sportsbook. 21+. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
DegeneratePicks is SPORTS ANALYTICS SOFTWARE for ENTERTAINMENT purposes only.
WE ARE:
Sports analytics software
Statistical modeling tool
Entertainment product
Educational resource
WE ARE NOT:
A sportsbook or gambling operator
A financial advisor
A guaranteed profit system
IMPORTANT:
All picks are generated by EXPERIMENTAL algorithms
NO OUTCOME IS GUARANTEED
Past performance does NOT predict future results
You are solely responsible for any betting decisions
Never bet more than you can afford to lose
Gambling can be addictive - if you have a problem, seek help
Problem Gambling Resources:
National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-522-4700
Gamblers Anonymous: www.gamblersanonymous.org
By using this platform, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these terms.
DEGENPICKS
Welcome
VIPYour invite includes full VIP access: every sport, every pick with its full reasoning, EV, confidence, stake sizing and CLV, and every tool. Nothing is locked.
DegenPicks prices every game with its own model, compares that price with the betting market, and posts a pick only when it finds an edge. Every pick is logged and graded in the open.
Live boardOdds, win chance and box scores for every game
AI picksModel probability, edge and reasoning
PerformanceWin rate, ROI and closing line value
Betting toolsOdds calculators and injury reports
AlertsBrowser and email when picks post
CelticsLIVE · Q3 4:12Knicks
78–71
Win chanceCeltics 78% · Knicks 22%
OverviewBox scorePlay-by-playInjuries
Today's games
Every game, live
One board for NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, college basketball, WNBA, MMA and seven soccer leagues.
Live odds with the best price highlighted, plus line movement
Open any game for its win-chance chart, box score, play-by-play and injuries
Prediction-market volume and 24-hour moves alongside sportsbook lines
NBA · MoneylineExample
Celtics −135
Model61.2%
Market57.4%
Edge+3.8%
Expected value+4.1%
Confidence●●●●●
WhyRest edge (2 days vs back-to-back) · Elo +41 · Home court
The Brain Room
Picks that show their work
The model blends game simulation, machine learning and team ratings, then checks its number against the market.
A pick posts only when the expected value clears 2% and confidence is 3 out of 5 or better
Each pick lists the price, the model's probability, the edge and the reasons behind it
Stake guidance uses a fraction of the Kelly criterion
AI PerformanceExample
Record—
ROI—
Beat closing line—
WCeltics ML −135CLV +2.1%
LOilers −1.5 +160CLV +0.8%
WDodgers ML −118CLV −0.4%
The Receipts
A record you can check
Every pick is recorded the moment it posts and graded when the game ends. Losses stay on the board.
Win rate, ROI and profit by sport, by market, and live vs pre-game
Closing line value on every pick: whether it beat the final market price, the clearest sign of real edge
The full history stays public, wins and losses alike
Line movementPolymarket price history
The Math DeskEV · Kelly · Parlay · Hedge
Injury reportStatus by team
Team analyticsAverages, form, splits
CommunityChat with members
Tools
Everything around the bet
The research you'd otherwise do across five tabs, in one place.
See how each game's Polymarket price has moved before you place anything
EV, Kelly, parlay, hedge, arbitrage and implied-probability calculators
Injury reports and team analytics
Some tools are part of Pro. Compare plans anytime under Pick Your Seat.
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Analytics only, not financial advice. Picks are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
